Zoeken
Zoeken kan via de modus 'eenvoudig zoeken' (één veld) of uitgebreid via 'geavanceerd zoeken' (meerdere velden). Zo kan je bv. zoeken op een combinatie van een auteursnaam (auteur), een jaartal (jaar) en een documenttype.
Boekenmand
Nuttige resultaten kan je aanvinken en toevoegen aan een mandje. De inhoud hiervan kan je exporteren of afdrukken (naar bv. PDF).
RSS
Op de hoogte blijven van nieuw toegevoegde publicaties binnen uw interessegebied? Dit kan door een RSS-feed (?) te maken van jouw zoekopdracht.
nieuwe zoekopdracht
Biospheric feedback effects in a synchronously coupled model of human and Earth systems
Thornton, P.E.; Calvin, K.; Jones, A.D.; Di Vittorio, A.V.; Bond-Lamberty, B.; Chini, L.; Shi, X.; Mao, J.; Collins, W.D.; Edmonds, J.; Thomson, A.; Truesdale, J.; Craig, A.; Branstetter, M.L.; Hurtt, G.C. (2017). Biospheric feedback effects in a synchronously coupled model of human and Earth systems. Nat. Clim. Chang. 7(7): 496-500. https://dx.doi.org/10.1038/nclimate3310
In: Nature Climate Change. Nature Publishing Group: London. ISSN 1758-678X; e-ISSN 1758-6798
|  |
| Auteurs | | Top |
- Thornton, P.E.
- Calvin, K.
- Jones, A.D.
- Di Vittorio, A.V.
- Bond-Lamberty, B.
|
- Chini, L.
- Shi, X.
- Mao, J.
- Collins, W.D.
- Edmonds, J.
|
- Thomson, A.
- Truesdale, J.
- Craig, A.
- Branstetter, M.L.
- Hurtt, G.C.
|
| Abstract |
Fossil fuel combustion and land-use change are the two largest contributors to industrial-era increases in atmospheric CO2 concentration. Projections of these are thus fundamental inputs for coupled Earth system models (ESMs) used to estimate the physical and biological consequences of future climate system forcing. While historical data sets are available to inform past and current climate analyses, assessments of future climate change have relied on projections of energy and land use from energy–economic models, constrained by assumptions about future policy, land-use patterns and socio-economic development trajectories. Here we show that the climatic impacts on land ecosystems drive significant feedbacks in energy, agriculture, land use and carbon cycle projections for the twenty-first century. We find that exposure of human-appropriated land ecosystem productivity to biospheric change results in reductions of land area used for crops; increases in managed forest area and carbon stocks; decreases in global crop prices; and reduction in fossil fuel emissions for a low–mid-range forcing scenario. The feedbacks between climate-induced biospheric change and human system forcings to the climate system—demonstrated here—are handled inconsistently, or excluded altogether, in the one-way asynchronous coupling of energy–economic models to ESMs used to date. |
IMIS is ontwikkeld en wordt gehost door het VLIZ.
