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Increased ENSO sea surface temperature variability under four IPCC emission scenarios
Cai, W.; Ng, B.; Wang, G.; Santoso, A.; Wu, L.; Yang, K. (2022). Increased ENSO sea surface temperature variability under four IPCC emission scenarios. Nat. Clim. Chang. 12(3): 228-231. https://dx.doi.org/10.1038/s41558-022-01282-z
In: Nature Climate Change. Nature Publishing Group: London. ISSN 1758-678X; e-ISSN 1758-6798
Peer reviewed article  
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  • Cai, W.
  • Ng, B.
  • Wang, G.
  • Santoso, A.
  • Wu, L.
  • Yang, K.
Abstract
    Sea surface temperature (SST) variability of El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO) underpins its global impact, and its future change is a long-standing science issue. In its sixth assessment, the IPCC reports no systematic change in ENSO SST variability under any emission scenarios considered. However, comparison between the 20th and 21st century shows a robust increase in century-long ENSO SST variability under four IPCC plausible emission scenarios.
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