Over het archief
Het OWA, het open archief van het Waterbouwkundig Laboratorium heeft tot doel alle vrij toegankelijke onderzoeksresultaten van dit instituut in digitale vorm aan te bieden. Op die manier wil het de zichtbaarheid, verspreiding en gebruik van deze onderzoeksresultaten, alsook de wetenschappelijke communicatie maximaal bevorderen.
Dit archief wordt uitgebouwd en beheerd volgens de principes van de Open Access Movement, en het daaruit ontstane Open Archives Initiative.
Basisinformatie over ‘Open Access to scholarly information'.
Long-term transients help explain regime shifts in consumer-renewable resource systems
Eppinga, M.B.; Siteur, K.; Baudena, M.; Reader, M.O.; van ’t Veen, H.; Anderies, J.M.; Santos, M.J. (2021). Long-term transients help explain regime shifts in consumer-renewable resource systems. Commun. Earth Environ. 2: 42. https://dx.doi.org/10.1038/s43247-021-00112-y
Bijhorende data:
In: Communications Earth & Environment. Springer Nature: London. e-ISSN 2662-4435, meer
|   |
| Auteurs | | Top |
- Eppinga, M.B.
- Siteur, K., meer
- Baudena, M.
- Reader, M.O.
|
- van ’t Veen, H.
- Anderies, J.M.
- Santos, M.J.
|
|
| Abstract |
As planetary boundaries loom, there is an urgent need to develop sustainable equilibriums between societies and the resources they consume, thereby avoiding regime shifts to undesired states. Transient system trajectories to a stable state may differ substantially, posing significant challenges to distinguishing sustainable from unsustainable trajectories. We use stylized models to show how feedbacks between anthropogenic harvest regimes and resource availability drive transient dynamics. We show how substantial time lags may occur between interventions and social-ecological outcomes, and that sudden system collapses need not be linked to recent environmental changes. Historical reconstructions of island state populations show a variety of transient dynamics that closely corresponds to model expectations based on island differences in productivity and harvesting regime. We conclude that vulnerable social-ecological systems may persist when the population:resource ratio remains within a viable range of intermediate (rather than small) values, which implies that averting environmental crises may require counter-intuitive measures. |
IMIS is ontwikkeld en wordt gehost door het VLIZ.
