Open WL Archief (OWA)

Over het archief

Het OWA, het open archief van het Waterbouwkundig Laboratorium heeft tot doel alle vrij toegankelijke onderzoeksresultaten van dit instituut in digitale vorm aan te bieden. Op die manier wil het de zichtbaarheid, verspreiding en gebruik van deze onderzoeksresultaten, alsook de wetenschappelijke communicatie maximaal bevorderen.

Dit archief wordt uitgebouwd en beheerd volgens de principes van de Open Access Movement, en het daaruit ontstane Open Archives Initiative.

Basisinformatie over ‘Open Access to scholarly information'.

[ meld een fout in dit record ]

mandje (0): toevoegen | toon

---

Megafloods in Europe can be anticipated from observations in hydrologically similar catchments Bertola, Miriam; Blöschl, Günter; Bohac, Milon; Borga, Marco; Castellarin, Attilio; Chirico, Giovanni B.; Claps, Pierluigi; Dallan, Eleonora; Danilovich, Irina; Ganora, Daniele; Gorbachova, Liudmyla; Ledvinka, Ondrej; Mavrova-Guirguinova, Maria; Montanari, Alberto; Ovcharuk, Valeriya; Viglione, Alberto; Volpi, Elena; Arheimer, Berit; Aronica, Giuseppe Tito; Bonacci, Ognjen; Čanjevac, Ivan; Csik, Andras; Frolova, Natalia; Gnandt, Boglarka; Gribovszki, Zoltan; Gül, Ali; Günther, Knut; Guse, Björn; Hannaford, Jamie; Harrigan, Shaun; Kireeva, Maria; Kohnová, Silvia; Komma, Jürgen; Kriauciuniene, Jurate; Kronvang, Brian; Lawrence, Deborah; Lüdtke, Stefan; Mediero, Luis; Merz, Bruno; Molnar, Peter; Murphy, Conor; Oskoruš, Dijana; Osuch, Marzena; Parajka, Juraj; Pfister, Laurent; Radevski, Ivan; Sauquet, Eric; Schröter, Kai; Šraj, Mojca; Szolgay, Jan; Turner, Stephen; Valent, Peter; Veijalainen, Noora; Ward, Philip J.; Willems, Patrick; Zivkovic, Nenad (2023). Megafloods in Europe can be anticipated from observations in hydrologically similar catchments. Nature Geoscience 16(11): 982-988. https://dx.doi.org/10.1038/s41561-023-01300-5 In: Nature Geoscience. Nature Publishing Group: London. ISSN 1752-0894; e-ISSN 1752-0908, meer Is gerelateerd aan: (2023). Locally surprising megafloods in Europe can be anticipated from continent-wide observations. Nature Geoscience 16(11): 942-943. https://dx.doi.org/10.1038/s41561-023-01301-4, meer

---

Beschikbaar in	Auteur
VLIZ: Non-open access 394035 [ aanvragen ]

---

Auteur		Top
Willems, P., meer

---

Abstract

Megafloods that far exceed previously observed records often take citizens and experts by surprise, resulting in extremely severe damage and loss of life. Existing methods based on local and regional information rarely go beyond national borders and cannot predict these floods well because of limited data on megafloods, and because flood generation processes of extremes differ from those of smaller, more frequently observed events. Here we analyse river discharge observations from over 8,000 gauging stations across Europe and show that recent megafloods could have been anticipated from those previously observed in other places in Europe. Almost all observed megafloods (95.5%) fall within the envelope values estimated from previous floods in other similar places on the continent, implying that local surprises are not surprising at the continental scale. This holds also for older events, indicating that megafloods have not changed much in time relative to their spatial variability. The underlying concept of the study is that catchments with similar flood generation processes produce similar outliers. It is thus essential to transcend national boundaries and learn from other places across the continent to avoid surprises and save lives.

---

Alle informatie in het Integrated Marine Information System (IMIS) valt onder het VLIZ Privacy beleid

Top | Auteur

IMIS is ontwikkeld en wordt gehost door het VLIZ.