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Brief Communication: On the mid-summer melt pond fraction–September Arctic sea ice extent relationship in the EC-Earth3 climate model
Gupta, M.; Ponsoni, L.; Sterlin, J.; Massonnet, F.; Fichefet, T. (2023). Brief Communication: On the mid-summer melt pond fraction–September Arctic sea ice extent relationship in the EC-Earth3 climate model. EGUsphere (preprints) 26 July: 1-14. https://dx.doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2023-1560
In: EGUsphere (preprints). European Geosciences Union. , meer
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Documenttype: Preprint
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  • Gupta, M., meer
  • Ponsoni, L., meer
  • Sterlin, J.
  • Massonnet, F., meer
  • Fichefet, T., meer
Abstract
    In a recent study, the springtime melt pond fraction has been suggested to be a predictor of subsequent September Arctic sea ice minimum extent anomalies. However, another study based on satellite data did not provide evidence for such a relationship. We explore this association in EC-Earth3, which includes an explicit treatment of melt ponds, for the present-day climate. We find a statistically significant inverse relationship between September sea ice extent and mid-summer (June–July) melt pond fraction on the seasonal scale. Our results support the satellite-based inferences that the mid-summer melt pond fraction highly correlates with the September ice extent.
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