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Het OWA, het open archief van het Waterbouwkundig Laboratorium heeft tot doel alle vrij toegankelijke onderzoeksresultaten van dit instituut in digitale vorm aan te bieden. Op die manier wil het de zichtbaarheid, verspreiding en gebruik van deze onderzoeksresultaten, alsook de wetenschappelijke communicatie maximaal bevorderen.

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one publication added to basket [353275]

Future sea level change under coupled model intercomparison project phase 5 and phase 6 scenarios from the Greenland and Antarctic ice sheets Payne, A.J.; Nowicki, S.; Abe-Ouchi, A.; Agosta, C.; Alexander, P.; Albrecht, T.; Asay-Davis, X.; Aschwanden, A.; Barthel, A.; Bracegirdle, T.J.; Calov, R.; Chambers, C.; Choi, Y.; Cullather, R.; Cuzzone, J.; Dumas, C.; Edwards, T.L.; Felikson, D.; Fettweis, X.; Galton-Fenzi, B.K.; Goelzer, H.; Gladstone, R.; Golledge, N.R.; Gregory, J.M.; Greve, R.; Hattermann, T.; Hoffman, M.J.; Humbert, A.; Huybrechts, P.; Jourdain, N.C.; Kleiner, T.; Kuipers Munneke, P.; Larour, E.; Le Clec'h, S.; Lee, V.; Leguy, G.; Lipscomb, W.H.; Little, C.M.; Lowry, D.P.; Morlighem, M.; Nias, I.; Pattyn, F.; Pelle, T.; Price, S.F.; Quiquet, A.; Reese, R.; Rückamp, M.; Schlegel, N.-J.; Seroussi, H.; Shepherd, A.; Simon, E.; Slater, D.; Smith, R.S.; Straneo, F.; Sun, S.; Tarasov, L.; Trusel, L.D.; Van Breedam, J.; van de Wal, R.; van den Broeke, M.; Winkelmann, R.; Zhao, C.; Zhang, T.; Zwinger, T. (2021). Future sea level change under coupled model intercomparison project phase 5 and phase 6 scenarios from the Greenland and Antarctic ice sheets. Geophys. Res. Lett. 48(16): e2020GL091741. https://dx.doi.org/10.1029/2020GL091741 In: Geophysical Research Letters. American Geophysical Union: Washington. ISSN 0094-8276; e-ISSN 1944-8007, meer

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Beschikbaar in	Auteurs
VLIZ: Open access 378656 [ download pdf ]

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Trefwoord

Marien/Kust

Author keywords

Antarctica; Greenland; ice sheet; sea level

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Auteurs		Top
Payne, A.J. Nowicki, S. Abe-Ouchi, A. Agosta, C., meer Alexander, P. Albrecht, T. Asay-Davis, X. Aschwanden, A. Barthel, A. Bracegirdle, T.J. Calov, R. Chambers, C. Choi, Y. Cullather, R. Cuzzone, J. Dumas, C. Edwards, T.L. Felikson, D. Fettweis, X., meer Galton-Fenzi, B.K. Goelzer, H., meer Gladstone, R.	Golledge, N.R. Gregory, J.M. Greve, R. Hattermann, T. Hoffman, M.J. Humbert, A. Huybrechts, P., meer Jourdain, N.C. Kleiner, T. Kuipers Munneke, P. Larour, E. Le Clec'h, S., meer Lee, V. Leguy, G. Lipscomb, W.H. Little, C.M. Lowry, D.P. Morlighem, M. Nias, I. Pattyn, F., meer Pelle, T.	Price, S.F. Quiquet, A. Reese, R. Rückamp, M. Schlegel, N.-J. Seroussi, H. Shepherd, A. Simon, E. Slater, D. Smith, R.S. Straneo, F. Sun, S., meer Tarasov, L. Trusel, L.D. Van Breedam, J., meer van de Wal, R. van den Broeke, M. Winkelmann, R. Zhao, C. Zhang, T. Zwinger, T.

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Abstract

Projections of the sea level contribution from the Greenland and Antarctic ice sheets (GrIS and AIS) rely on atmospheric and oceanic drivers obtained from climate models. The Earth System Models participating in the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project phase 6 (CMIP6) generally project greater future warming compared with the previous Coupled Model Intercomparison Project phase 5 (CMIP5) effort. Here we use four CMIP6 models and a selection of CMIP5 models to force multiple ice sheet models as part of the Ice Sheet Model Intercomparison Project for CMIP6 (ISMIP6). We find that the projected sea level contribution at 2100 from the ice sheet model ensemble under the CMIP6 scenarios falls within the CMIP5 range for the Antarctic ice sheet but is significantly increased for Greenland. Warmer atmosphere in CMIP6 models results in higher Greenland mass loss due to surface melt. For Antarctica, CMIP6 forcing is similar to CMIP5 and mass gain from increased snowfall counteracts increased loss due to ocean warming.

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